Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 28 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 48.7% vs Duchene 54.1% (-5.5%)
H2H factor
Sedin leads 52-43 in 95 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedin 50.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 82.6%
Neutral zone
Duchene 70.6%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 68.4%
31.6%
68.4%
Sedin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
52
-
43
(95 meetings)
52
43
Sedin
Duchene
Last 10: Sedin 7-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
21
7
Sedin
Duchene
28 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
14
17
Sedin
Duchene
31 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
17
19
Sedin
Duchene
36 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (7,963)
53.9% (10,396)
-6.0%
Power Play
54.6% (1,500)
56.9% (1,665)
-2.3%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (285)
49.1% (468)
-9.8%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sedin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,435).
Sedin shoots left. Duchene is 53.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,059).
Home / Away
Sedin
Duchene
Home
50.4% (5,017)
55.6% (6,411)
Away
46.8% (4,760)
52.7% (6,142)
By Period
Sedin
Duchene
P1
47.9%
54.5%
P2
50.3%
54.5%
P3
47.4%
53.4%
OT
55.7%
56.3%
Final 5 min
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.7%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 2 | 11:09 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 16, 2016 | 1 | 12:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 2 | 10:15 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 09:08 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Feb 21, 2016 | 1 | 03:28 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 9, 2016 | 3 | 17:31 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 3 | 07:53 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 02:54 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 26, 2015 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 17:00 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 4, 2014 | 3 | 05:49 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |