Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 50.1% vs Duchene 50.9% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 78.0%
Defensive zone
Duchene 74.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 51.7%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 61.2%
61.2%
38.8%
Sedin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Sedin
Duchene
Last 8: Sedin 5-3 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
5
0
Sedin
Duchene
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
2
Sedin
Duchene
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Sedin
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,063)
51.0% (357)
-2.0%
Power Play
58.1% (210)
53.6% (28)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
31.3% (16)
50.0% (2)
-18.7%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +18.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sedin is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (896).
Sedin shoots left. Duchene is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (271).
Home / Away
Sedin
Duchene
Home
52.0% (646)
51.0% (208)
Away
48.2% (656)
51.4% (183)
By Period
Sedin
Duchene
P1
48.0%
53.3%
P2
50.0%
53.4%
P3
51.1%
44.6%
OT
63.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.6%
56.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
50.1%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
51.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2012 | 3 | 01:13 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:57 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 05:38 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Mar 28, 2012 | 2 | 01:43 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 24, 2012 | 2 | 08:47 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Dec 6, 2011 | 3 | 11:59 | Defensive | Matt Duchene |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 07:08 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 23, 2011 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |