Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 49.1% vs Duchene 61.5% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 61.1%
Defensive zone
Duchene 93.4%
Neutral zone
Duchene 89.2%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 81.8%
18.2%
81.8%
Sedin
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Sedin
Duchene
Last 7: Sedin 6-1 Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
2
0
Sedin
Duchene
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
0
Sedin
Duchene
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
3
1
Sedin
Duchene
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,091)
62.2% (802)
-14.2%
Power Play
57.2% (138)
67.3% (153)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
59.4% (143)
-12.3%
On even strength, Duchene has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Sedin is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Sedin shoots left. Duchene is 60.9% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Home / Away
Sedin
Duchene
Home
49.8% (626)
66.5% (555)
Away
48.2% (620)
58.6% (543)
By Period
Sedin
Duchene
P1
45.4%
63.2%
P2
54.2%
59.6%
P3
48.5%
65.0%
OT
17.6%
71.4%
Final 5 min
45.6%
65.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.0%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
62.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 19:27 | Neutral | Matt Duchene |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 3 | 03:10 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 25, 2017 | 2 | 17:59 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 07:18 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 2 | 06:53 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 07:02 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 2, 2017 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |