Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 48.7% vs Peca 50.2% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 79.6%
Defensive zone
Peca 66.6%
Neutral zone
Sedin 52.5%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 54.3%
54.3%
45.7%
Sedin
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sedin
Peca
Last 9: Sedin 3-6 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Peca
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
4
Sedin
Peca
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
47.9% (7,963)
51.5% (423)
-3.6%
Power Play
54.6% (1,500)
12.5% (8)
+42.1%
Penalty Kill
39.3% (285)
44.2% (43)
-4.9%
On power play, Sedin has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Sedin is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (6,435).
Sedin shoots left. Peca is 46.4% vs left-shot opponents (302).
Home / Away
Sedin
Peca
Home
50.4% (5,017)
46.1% (193)
Away
46.8% (4,760)
53.0% (281)
By Period
Sedin
Peca
P1
47.9%
56.6%
P2
50.3%
44.4%
P3
47.4%
50.3%
OT
55.7%
0.0%
Final 5 min
48.0%
48.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
48.7%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |