Scouting Report
Matthew Peca holds a +10.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Peca on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Sedin wins 43.6% vs left-shot opponents — Peca shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 46.8% vs Peca 54.0% (-10.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 87.4%
Defensive zone
Peca 65.8%
Neutral zone
Sedin 60.8%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 60.8%
60.8%
39.2%
Sedin
Peca
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sedin
Peca
Last 9: Sedin 3-6 Peca
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Peca
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Peca
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Peca
1
4
Sedin
Peca
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Peca
Edge
Even Strength
45.1% (822)
57.8% (116)
-12.7%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
0.0% (2)
+56.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (4)
57.9% (19)
-7.9%
On power play, Sedin has a +56.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Peca shoots left. Sedin is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (628).
Sedin shoots left. Peca is 56.4% vs left-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Sedin
Peca
Home
51.2% (475)
23.5% (17)
Away
41.8% (467)
61.7% (120)
By Period
Sedin
Peca
P1
47.1%
55.0%
P2
47.1%
58.3%
P3
45.2%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.8%
64.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.5%
Peca
46.0%▼
49.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 14:56 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 3 | 06:28 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 8, 2018 | 1 | 10:28 | Offensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 3 | 14:30 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 06:59 | Defensive | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 03:55 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 3, 2018 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Matthew Peca |