Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.0% vs 52.5%). Look for Marleau on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 51.8% vs Marleau 52.1% (-0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 83.2%
Defensive zone
Marleau 75.4%
Neutral zone
Marleau 52.8%
Result
Patrick Marleau favored at 63.6%
36.4%
63.6%
Sedin
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Sedin
Marleau
Last 5: Sedin 1-4 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
0
1
Sedin
Marleau
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Marleau
1
3
Sedin
Marleau
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
50.7% (1,139)
50.9% (350)
-0.2%
Power Play
58.1% (203)
64.8% (54)
-6.7%
Penalty Kill
55.2% (29)
51.4% (142)
+3.8%
On power play, Marleau has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Sedin is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (934).
Sedin shoots left. Marleau is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Sedin
Marleau
Home
55.3% (718)
54.3% (289)
Away
48.4% (669)
50.4% (260)
By Period
Sedin
Marleau
P1
50.8%
53.3%
P2
54.3%
53.3%
P3
50.1%
50.5%
OT
64.0%
58.3%
Final 5 min
48.2%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.0%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2011 | 3 | 18:10 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 20, 2011 | 2 | 18:41 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 2 | 03:53 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 15:48 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Jan 3, 2011 | 1 | 09:32 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |