Scouting Report
Patrik Berglund holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Berglund on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Sedin wins 43.4% vs left-shot opponents — Berglund shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 46.3% vs Berglund 50.1% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 83.9%
Defensive zone
Berglund 52.8%
Neutral zone
Sedin 59.9%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Sedin
Berglund
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Sedin
Berglund
Last 8: Sedin 3-5 Berglund
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Berglund
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Berglund
0
1
Sedin
Berglund
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Berglund
2
3
Sedin
Berglund
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Berglund
Edge
Even Strength
45.0% (1,034)
50.4% (240)
-5.4%
Power Play
52.6% (251)
38.5% (13)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
37.1% (62)
54.2% (24)
-17.1%
On penalty kill, Berglund has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Berglund shoots left. Sedin is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Sedin shoots left. Berglund is 48.9% vs left-shot opponents (176).
Home / Away
Sedin
Berglund
Home
47.0% (725)
51.8% (114)
Away
44.9% (622)
49.1% (163)
By Period
Sedin
Berglund
P1
45.6%
48.4%
P2
49.3%
50.6%
P3
43.2%
52.1%
OT
45.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.3%
57.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
46.0%
Berglund
60.0%▲
57.0%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 10:51 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 25, 2016 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 11:54 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 04:06 | Defensive | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Patrik Berglund |
| Mar 19, 2016 | 1 | 17:40 | Offensive | Patrik Berglund |