Scouting Report
Sam Gagner holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Sedin wins 46.1% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 45.3% vs Gagner 47.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Gagner 68.6%
Defensive zone
Sedin 56.7%
Neutral zone
Gagner 56.1%
Result
Sam Gagner favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Sedin
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Sedin
Gagner
Last 7: Sedin 5-2 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
1
0
Sedin
Gagner
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Sedin
Gagner
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
3
1
Sedin
Gagner
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
45.3% (1,216)
45.6% (651)
-0.3%
Power Play
49.0% (257)
53.8% (119)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
29.3% (92)
0.0% (1)
+29.3%
On penalty kill, Sedin has a +29.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Sedin is 46.1% vs right-shot opponents (588).
Sedin shoots left. Gagner is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (488).
Home / Away
Sedin
Gagner
Home
48.2% (782)
47.1% (367)
Away
41.8% (783)
46.5% (404)
By Period
Sedin
Gagner
P1
43.0%
49.6%
P2
46.4%
47.9%
P3
44.8%
43.4%
OT
60.0%
43.8%
Final 5 min
44.2%
48.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
45.0%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 2 | 00:02 | Neutral | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 09:18 | Defensive | Sam Gagner |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 9, 2015 | 1 | 00:01 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 1 | 16:36 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 14, 2014 | 1 | 18:05 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |