Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedin on neutral-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 49.1% vs Hertl 51.4% (-2.7%)
H2H factor
Sedin leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 54.2%
Defensive zone
Hertl 81.6%
Neutral zone
Hertl 67.9%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 67.9%
32.1%
67.9%
Sedin
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
3
(12 meetings)
9
3
Sedin
Hertl
Last 10: Sedin 8-2 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
2
1
Sedin
Hertl
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
2
1
Sedin
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sedin
5
1
Sedin
Hertl
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (1,091)
50.4% (367)
-2.4%
Power Play
57.2% (138)
64.6% (48)
-7.4%
Penalty Kill
47.1% (17)
49.2% (59)
-2.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +7.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Sedin is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (801).
Sedin shoots left. Hertl is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Sedin
Hertl
Home
49.8% (626)
50.9% (220)
Away
48.2% (620)
52.4% (254)
By Period
Sedin
Hertl
P1
45.4%
52.7%
P2
54.2%
52.8%
P3
48.5%
49.7%
OT
17.6%
40.0%
Final 5 min
45.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
49.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
51.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 11:37 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 2 | 00:34 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 4, 2017 | 1 | 03:40 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 08:47 | Defensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 3 | 00:36 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 2 | 17:31 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |
| Apr 2, 2017 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 2, 2017 | 2 | 01:03 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Feb 25, 2017 | 2 | 12:02 | Neutral | Henrik Sedin |