Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (52.3% vs 52.7%). Look for Smith on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sedin 52.1% vs Smith 52.5% (-0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Sedin 79.8%
Defensive zone
Smith 73.2%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.6%
Result
Henrik Sedin favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Sedin
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
6
(9 meetings)
3
6
Sedin
Smith
Last 9: Sedin 3-6 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedin
3
1
Sedin
Smith
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
1
Sedin
Smith
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Sedin
Smith
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sedin
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (896)
53.0% (1,048)
-1.2%
Power Play
57.6% (158)
57.4% (47)
+0.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (43)
50.0% (196)
-5.8%
On penalty kill, Smith has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Sedin is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (673).
Sedin shoots left. Smith is 53.2% vs left-shot opponents (821).
Home / Away
Sedin
Smith
Home
51.3% (556)
53.9% (629)
Away
53.4% (541)
51.5% (662)
By Period
Sedin
Smith
P1
53.7%
50.4%
P2
53.4%
51.8%
P3
49.3%
56.4%
OT
56.3%
31.6%
Final 5 min
56.6%
54.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sedin
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2014 | 3 | 04:40 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 2 | 05:29 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 17:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 08:44 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Mar 2, 2014 | 1 | 03:17 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 11:06 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 08:14 | Offensive | Henrik Sedin |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Nov 28, 2013 | 2 | 18:58 | Neutral | Zack Smith |