Scouting Report
Adam Lowry holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Lowry wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Zetterberg shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 55.1% vs Zetterberg 48.5% (+7.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 53.6%
Defensive zone
Lowry 87.2%
Neutral zone
Lowry 78.4%
Result
Adam Lowry favored at 71.7%
71.7%
28.3%
Lowry
Zetterberg
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Lowry
Zetterberg
Last 9: Lowry 7-2 Zetterberg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
1
2
Lowry
Zetterberg
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lowry
4
0
Lowry
Zetterberg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
2
0
Lowry
Zetterberg
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Zetterberg
Edge
Even Strength
59.0% (527)
48.4% (1,147)
+10.6%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
49.1% (220)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
37.5% (8)
+7.1%
On even strength, Lowry has a +10.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zetterberg shoots left. Lowry is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Lowry shoots left. Zetterberg is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Home / Away
Lowry
Zetterberg
Home
57.9% (330)
49.4% (656)
Away
54.0% (341)
47.6% (719)
By Period
Lowry
Zetterberg
P1
55.8%
46.7%
P2
55.8%
51.4%
P3
56.1%
46.4%
OT
50.0%
76.9%
Final 5 min
62.2%
42.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
55.9%
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 15:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 3 | 09:24 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 19:08 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 2 | 13:50 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 19:47 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 17:36 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 5, 2017 | 1 | 12:31 | Defensive | Adam Lowry |