Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Zetterberg wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 52.2% vs Kesler 57.0% (-5.0%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 67.1%
Defensive zone
Zetterberg 64.9%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 65.1%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 66.0%
66.0%
34.0%
Zetterberg
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
11
(18 meetings)
7
11
Zetterberg
Kesler
Last 10: Zetterberg 5-5 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
4
5
Zetterberg
Kesler
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
0
5
Zetterberg
Kesler
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
3
1
Zetterberg
Kesler
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (740)
57.3% (1,022)
-4.9%
Power Play
53.1% (177)
61.5% (200)
-8.4%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
54.9% (257)
-5.8%
On power play, Kesler has a +8.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zetterberg is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Zetterberg shoots left. Kesler is 57.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,091).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Kesler
Home
55.3% (488)
58.6% (766)
Away
49.6% (496)
56.2% (730)
By Period
Zetterberg
Kesler
P1
49.8%
58.9%
P2
52.1%
56.8%
P3
54.8%
57.5%
OT
54.5%
31.6%
Final 5 min
46.9%
57.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.4%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 19:18 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 3 | 10:56 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Mar 23, 2011 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 08:22 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 8, 2011 | 2 | 03:46 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 15:27 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 15:09 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 01:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 18:57 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 16:31 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 05:34 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 02:55 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 22, 2010 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |