Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +9.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zetterberg wins 46.2% vs right-shot opponents — Kesler shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 48.6% vs Kesler 55.6% (-9.1%)
H2H factor
Kesler leads 8-5 in 13 meetings
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 62.5%
Defensive zone
Zetterberg 61.0%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 62.2%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 62.0%
62.0%
38.0%
Zetterberg
Kesler
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
8
(13 meetings)
5
8
Zetterberg
Kesler
Last 10: Zetterberg 4-6 Kesler
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Zetterberg
Kesler
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
1
2
Zetterberg
Kesler
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
4
Zetterberg
Kesler
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Kesler
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (456)
57.6% (231)
-9.6%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
65.5% (29)
-9.2%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (56)
51.2% (43)
-4.8%
On even strength, Kesler has a +9.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kesler shoots right. Zetterberg is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Zetterberg shoots left. Kesler is 58.9% vs left-shot opponents (246).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Kesler
Home
52.3% (283)
58.8% (114)
Away
44.1% (261)
56.6% (189)
By Period
Zetterberg
Kesler
P1
48.1%
60.8%
P2
51.7%
60.0%
P3
44.7%
52.5%
OT
54.5%
66.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 06:18 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 3 | 03:50 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Apr 20, 2013 | 2 | 11:00 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 17:25 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 11:55 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 3 | 08:52 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 15:45 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 09:35 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 05:37 | Offensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:37 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Feb 24, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |