Scouting Report
Saku Koivu holds a +3.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Koivu on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 48.6% vs Koivu 51.2% (-3.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 66.5%
Defensive zone
Koivu 58.7%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 53.1%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Zetterberg
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Zetterberg
Koivu
Last 9: Zetterberg 2-7 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Zetterberg
Koivu
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
0
3
Zetterberg
Koivu
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
2
Zetterberg
Koivu
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (456)
52.5% (631)
-4.5%
Power Play
56.3% (32)
49.3% (73)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
46.4% (56)
47.6% (147)
-1.2%
On power play, Zetterberg has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Zetterberg is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (336).
Zetterberg shoots left. Koivu is 50.6% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Koivu
Home
52.3% (283)
51.3% (431)
Away
44.1% (261)
51.4% (420)
By Period
Zetterberg
Koivu
P1
48.1%
51.9%
P2
51.7%
52.9%
P3
44.7%
49.8%
OT
54.5%
41.7%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.3%
Koivu
46.0%▼
50.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2013 | 2 | 03:24 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 24, 2013 | 1 | 12:59 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 3 | 03:27 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 09:26 | Offensive | Saku Koivu |
| Mar 22, 2013 | 1 | 06:45 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 3 | 06:57 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 2 | 04:46 | Defensive | Saku Koivu |
| Feb 15, 2013 | 1 | 06:36 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |