Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +8.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Zetterberg on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Zetterberg wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Gagner shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 52.2% vs Gagner 44.4% (+8.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 86.8%
Defensive zone
Zetterberg 89.4%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 92.7%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 89.2%
89.2%
10.8%
Zetterberg
Gagner
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
Zetterberg
Gagner
Last 6: Zetterberg 5-1 Gagner
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
2
1
Zetterberg
Gagner
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
1
0
Zetterberg
Gagner
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
2
0
Zetterberg
Gagner
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Gagner
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (740)
43.1% (758)
+9.3%
Power Play
53.1% (177)
50.3% (147)
+2.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (53)
34.6% (26)
+14.5%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +14.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gagner shoots right. Zetterberg is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (303).
Zetterberg shoots left. Gagner is 43.4% vs left-shot opponents (682).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Gagner
Home
55.3% (488)
47.4% (468)
Away
49.6% (496)
40.3% (467)
By Period
Zetterberg
Gagner
P1
49.8%
43.8%
P2
52.1%
43.8%
P3
54.8%
44.0%
OT
54.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
46.9%
42.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
52.4%
Gagner
48.0%▲
41.5%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2011 | 3 | 10:55 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 2 | 01:57 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 18:25 | Offensive | Sam Gagner |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 16:08 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Jan 4, 2011 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Henrik Zetterberg |