Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 48.5% vs Hertl 50.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 73.9%
Defensive zone
Hertl 51.8%
Neutral zone
Zetterberg 55.7%
Result
Henrik Zetterberg favored at 52.4%
52.4%
47.6%
Zetterberg
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Zetterberg
Hertl
Last 7: Zetterberg 1-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
3
Zetterberg
Hertl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hertl
1
3
Zetterberg
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (1,147)
51.5% (891)
-3.1%
Power Play
49.1% (220)
54.8% (135)
-5.7%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
41.5% (130)
-4.0%
On power play, Hertl has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Zetterberg is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (858).
Zetterberg shoots left. Hertl is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (715).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Hertl
Home
49.4% (656)
52.6% (544)
Away
47.6% (719)
49.2% (612)
By Period
Zetterberg
Hertl
P1
46.7%
49.4%
P2
51.4%
51.7%
P3
46.4%
51.4%
OT
76.9%
50.0%
Final 5 min
42.7%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
48.4%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2018 | 3 | 15:23 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | OT | 00:36 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 2 | 10:48 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 10:27 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 08:13 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 31, 2018 | 1 | 01:30 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |