Scouting Report
Henrik Zetterberg holds a +6.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Smith on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Zetterberg 50.8% vs Smith 46.2% (+6.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zetterberg 50.1%
Defensive zone
Smith 87.1%
Neutral zone
Smith 70.5%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 74.1%
25.9%
74.1%
Zetterberg
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Zetterberg
Smith
Last 7: Zetterberg 2-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Zetterberg
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
4
Zetterberg
Smith
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Zetterberg
1
0
Zetterberg
Smith
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Zetterberg
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (849)
44.7% (190)
+5.9%
Power Play
49.7% (197)
40.0% (10)
+9.7%
Penalty Kill
72.2% (18)
45.2% (31)
+27.0%
On penalty kill, Zetterberg has a +27.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Zetterberg is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (613).
Zetterberg shoots left. Smith is 44.8% vs left-shot opponents (165).
Home / Away
Zetterberg
Smith
Home
51.4% (589)
46.8% (111)
Away
50.1% (475)
42.5% (120)
By Period
Zetterberg
Smith
P1
51.6%
44.6%
P2
49.6%
43.6%
P3
51.1%
46.2%
OT
54.5%
40.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Zetterberg
58.0%▲
53.0%
50.8%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
44.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2014 | 3 | 05:24 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 12:19 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 2 | 00:21 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 18:24 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 14:30 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:18 | Neutral | Henrik Zetterberg |
| Nov 24, 2014 | 1 | 08:05 | Offensive | Henrik Zetterberg |