Scouting Report
Paul Stastny holds a +8.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stastny on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lundeström 48.1% vs Stastny 54.4% (-8.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lundeström 53.8%
Defensive zone
Stastny 52.0%
Neutral zone
Lundeström 57.2%
Result
Isac Lundeström favored at 53.4%
53.4%
46.6%
Lundeström
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Lundeström
Stastny
Last 9: Lundeström 4-5 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Lundeström
Stastny
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lundeström
2
1
Lundeström
Stastny
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
1
3
Lundeström
Stastny
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lundeström
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
40.7% (108)
53.6% (859)
-12.9%
Power Play
72.2% (18)
59.9% (202)
+12.3%
Penalty Kill
61.5% (13)
55.1% (78)
+6.4%
On even strength, Stastny has a +12.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Lundeström is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (92).
Lundeström shoots left. Stastny is 53.5% vs left-shot opponents (727).
Home / Away
Lundeström
Stastny
Home
49.1% (57)
56.9% (596)
Away
45.1% (82)
52.5% (543)
By Period
Lundeström
Stastny
P1
52.1%
53.9%
P2
41.7%
56.2%
P3
45.2%
54.4%
OT
100.0%
53.8%
Final 5 min
50.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lundeström
52.0%▬
52.0%
46.8%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
54.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 13:48 | Offensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 3 | 00:48 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 18:50 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 03:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 31, 2019 | 1 | 01:09 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 15:52 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 16:13 | Defensive | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 10:23 | Neutral | Isac Lundeström |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 02:39 | Defensive | Paul Stastny |