Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on offensive-zone draws (83% H2H, 6 meetings). Sutter wins 56.0% vs left-shot opponents — Barbashev shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 54.0% vs Barbashev 43.3% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 80.8%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 85.4%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 81.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 81.2%
18.8%
81.2%
Sutter
Barbashev
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Sutter
Barbashev
Last 9: Sutter 2-7 Barbashev
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
5
Sutter
Barbashev
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
2
Sutter
Barbashev
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Barbashev
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (1,088)
40.8% (196)
+13.8%
Power Play
59.3% (150)
37.5% (8)
+21.8%
Penalty Kill
49.1% (214)
0.0% (3)
+49.1%
On penalty kill, Sutter has a +49.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barbashev shoots left. Sutter is 56.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,013).
Sutter shoots right. Barbashev is 39.1% vs right-shot opponents (87).
Home / Away
Sutter
Barbashev
Home
55.0% (714)
49.4% (89)
Away
53.5% (738)
33.1% (118)
By Period
Sutter
Barbashev
P1
54.3%
34.3%
P2
53.1%
39.7%
P3
54.8%
46.6%
OT
63.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
53.2%
35.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
54.3%
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
40.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 05:07 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 3 | 03:49 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:28 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 16:13 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 2 | 11:58 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 23, 2017 | 1 | 12:57 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 2 | 07:43 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 04:26 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 16, 2017 | 1 | 00:52 | Offensive | Brandon Sutter |