Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +10.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.9% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 42.2% vs Weal 52.4% (-10.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 94.8%
Defensive zone
Weal 80.9%
Neutral zone
Weal 94.5%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 90.7%
9.3%
90.7%
Barbashev
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Barbashev
Weal
Last 7: Barbashev 6-1 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Weal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Weal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
0
Barbashev
Weal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
42.0% (1,738)
51.8% (867)
-9.8%
Power Play
46.1% (89)
59.7% (129)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
36.7% (139)
37.5% (8)
-0.8%
On power play, Weal has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Barbashev is 40.9% vs right-shot opponents (793).
Barbashev shoots left. Weal is 52.9% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Weal
Home
42.4% (932)
53.2% (455)
Away
41.3% (1,034)
52.3% (549)
By Period
Barbashev
Weal
P1
40.7%
56.6%
P2
42.3%
50.7%
P3
42.3%
51.1%
Final 5 min
39.2%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
41.8%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2019 | 2 | 12:25 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Oct 19, 2019 | 1 | 15:00 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |