Scouting Report
Jordan Weal holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Weal shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Weal 54.8% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Weal 93.2%
Defensive zone
Weal 70.3%
Neutral zone
Weal 92.1%
Result
Jordan Weal favored at 92.6%
7.4%
92.6%
Barbashev
Weal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Barbashev
Weal
Last 5: Barbashev 4-1 Weal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Barbashev
Weal
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
3
0
Barbashev
Weal
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Weal
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
55.4% (551)
-8.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
64.3% (42)
-47.6%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
16.7% (6)
+24.6%
On power play, Weal has a +47.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Weal shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Weal is 54.9% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Weal
Home
45.9% (233)
53.5% (269)
Away
45.2% (208)
57.3% (330)
By Period
Barbashev
Weal
P1
46.5%
60.9%
P2
48.3%
56.3%
P3
42.1%
49.5%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Weal
54.0%▲
48.5%
55.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:29 | Offensive | Jordan Weal |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 1 | 08:34 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 04:49 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Jan 7, 2019 | 2 | 01:33 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |