Scouting Report
Kyle Brodziak holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Barbashev on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Barbashev wins 41.9% vs right-shot opponents — Brodziak shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 46.4% vs Brodziak 51.8% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Brodziak 75.0%
Defensive zone
Brodziak 91.9%
Neutral zone
Brodziak 82.9%
Result
Kyle Brodziak favored at 82.0%
18.0%
82.0%
Barbashev
Brodziak
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
2
(8 meetings)
6
2
Barbashev
Brodziak
Last 8: Barbashev 6-2 Brodziak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Brodziak
0
2
Barbashev
Brodziak
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
1
0
Barbashev
Brodziak
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Barbashev
5
0
Barbashev
Brodziak
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Brodziak
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (389)
53.4% (631)
-6.9%
Power Play
16.7% (6)
40.0% (15)
-23.3%
Penalty Kill
41.3% (46)
46.3% (121)
-5.0%
On power play, Brodziak has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brodziak shoots right. Barbashev is 41.9% vs right-shot opponents (191).
Barbashev shoots left. Brodziak is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (517).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Brodziak
Home
45.9% (233)
53.9% (410)
Away
45.2% (208)
49.9% (357)
By Period
Barbashev
Brodziak
P1
46.5%
53.2%
P2
48.3%
56.1%
P3
42.1%
46.9%
Final 5 min
42.4%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
45.6%
Brodziak
50.0%▬
50.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:42 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 11:41 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 19, 2019 | 1 | 09:20 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 3 | 12:58 | Defensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 3 | 09:54 | Offensive | Kyle Brodziak |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 2 | 04:04 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |
| Dec 5, 2018 | 1 | 06:05 | Neutral | Ivan Barbashev |