Scouting Report
Peter Holland holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Holland on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Barbashev wins 40.8% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Barbashev 43.3% vs Holland 46.2% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Barbashev 52.3%
Defensive zone
Barbashev 52.5%
Neutral zone
Barbashev 51.9%
Result
Ivan Barbashev favored at 52.0%
52.0%
48.0%
Barbashev
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Barbashev
Holland
Last 5: Barbashev 2-3 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Barbashev
2
0
Barbashev
Holland
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Holland
0
3
Barbashev
Holland
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Barbashev
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
40.8% (196)
45.0% (462)
-4.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
52.9% (34)
-15.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (3)
33.3% (6)
-33.3%
On penalty kill, Holland has a +33.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Barbashev is 40.8% vs left-shot opponents (120).
Barbashev shoots left. Holland is 45.8% vs left-shot opponents (312).
Home / Away
Barbashev
Holland
Home
49.4% (89)
50.8% (240)
Away
33.1% (118)
40.5% (262)
By Period
Barbashev
Holland
P1
34.3%
44.9%
P2
39.7%
46.0%
P3
46.6%
45.7%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
35.7%
44.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Barbashev
22.0%▼
35.0%
40.1%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 3 | 19:40 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 02:24 | Neutral | Peter Holland |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 11:14 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 3 | 08:31 | Offensive | Ivan Barbashev |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 1 | 18:37 | Neutral | Peter Holland |