Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Howden wins 53.2% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 52.3% vs Compher 45.6% (+7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Howden 76.5%
Defensive zone
Howden 65.0%
Neutral zone
Howden 76.6%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Howden
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Howden
Compher
Last 7: Howden 5-2 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Howden
1
0
Howden
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
4
1
Howden
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Howden
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
53.4% (459)
45.8% (847)
+7.6%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
40.8% (49)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (52)
41.9% (117)
+6.2%
On even strength, Howden has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Howden is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (171).
Howden shoots left. Compher is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (740).
Home / Away
Howden
Compher
Home
48.8% (258)
45.1% (519)
Away
56.6% (258)
45.1% (494)
By Period
Howden
Compher
P1
54.0%
45.8%
P2
53.2%
46.2%
P3
50.9%
43.2%
OT
50.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
56.9%
41.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
52.7%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:36 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:23 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 2 | 07:10 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:18 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 16:12 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 09:21 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 16, 2025 | 1 | 01:30 | Offensive | Brett Howden |