Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Tierney on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Tierney wins 38.6% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tierney 47.9% vs Compher 48.9% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 53.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 50.3%
Neutral zone
Tierney 50.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Tierney
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Tierney
Compher
Last 8: Tierney 4-4 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
2
Tierney
Compher
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tierney
4
1
Tierney
Compher
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Tierney
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tierney
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
46.6% (193)
49.3% (1,149)
-2.7%
Power Play
66.7% (3)
53.9% (204)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
47.5% (40)
43.6% (312)
+3.9%
On power play, Tierney has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Tierney is 38.6% vs right-shot opponents (101).
Tierney shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Tierney
Compher
Home
47.9% (121)
50.7% (872)
Away
46.1% (115)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Tierney
Compher
P1
44.1%
49.9%
P2
50.0%
47.9%
P3
46.3%
49.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tierney
60.0%▲
56.5%
47.0%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 12:42 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 10:35 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 3 | 07:24 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 12:17 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Chris Tierney |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 15:22 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:58 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |