Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (49.3% vs 48.8%). Gustafsson wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Compher shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Gustafsson 49.5% vs Compher 48.9% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 55.4%
Defensive zone
Compher 51.1%
Neutral zone
Compher 50.4%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 51.7%
48.3%
51.7%
Gustafsson
Compher
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Gustafsson
Compher
Last 6: Gustafsson 3-3 Compher
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
0
1
Gustafsson
Compher
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Gustafsson
Compher
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Gustafsson
1
0
Gustafsson
Compher
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Gustafsson
Compher
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (182)
49.3% (1,149)
+1.8%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
53.9% (204)
-9.5%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (18)
43.6% (312)
-10.3%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +10.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Compher shoots right. Gustafsson is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (75).
Gustafsson shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
Gustafsson
Compher
Home
54.2% (96)
50.7% (872)
Away
45.1% (113)
46.8% (793)
By Period
Gustafsson
Compher
P1
58.5%
49.9%
P2
39.5%
47.9%
P3
51.5%
49.0%
Final 5 min
58.6%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Gustafsson
58.0%▲
50.0%
49.3%
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
48.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2023 | 1 | 00:57 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 16:09 | Neutral | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | David Gustafsson |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 13:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:44 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 2 | 02:34 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |