Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.8% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Drouin 49.5% (+2.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drouin 82.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 62.8%
Neutral zone
Drouin 55.5%
Result
Jonathan Drouin favored at 68.9%
31.1%
68.9%
Compher
Drouin
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
Compher
Drouin
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drouin
0
2
Compher
Drouin
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Drouin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Drouin
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
47.5% (181)
+6.4%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
56.8% (44)
-2.0%
On even strength, Compher has a +6.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Drouin shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Drouin is 47.2% vs right-shot opponents (89).
Home / Away
Compher
Drouin
Home
52.4% (429)
49.5% (97)
Away
51.7% (449)
49.2% (128)
By Period
Compher
Drouin
P1
56.0%
52.1%
P2
50.0%
51.5%
P3
50.6%
45.0%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Drouin
44.0%▼
49.5%
49.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 15:17 | Neutral | Jonathan Drouin |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 13:10 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jonathan Drouin |