Scouting Report
Jonathan Toews holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Toews on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Toews 60.3% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Toews 65.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 68.6%
Neutral zone
Toews 50.4%
Result
Jonathan Toews favored at 55.5%
44.5%
55.5%
Compher
Toews
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Toews
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Toews
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Toews
0
3
Compher
Toews
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Toews
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Toews
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Toews
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
62.5% (696)
-8.6%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
59.6% (141)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
46.9% (32)
-11.3%
On penalty kill, Toews has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Toews shoots left. Compher is 51.8% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Compher shoots right. Toews is 71.8% vs right-shot opponents (291).
Home / Away
Compher
Toews
Home
52.4% (429)
60.9% (435)
Away
51.7% (449)
62.0% (434)
By Period
Compher
Toews
P1
56.0%
59.8%
P2
50.0%
65.7%
P3
50.6%
58.8%
OT
50.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
58.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Toews
58.0%▼
61.0%
61.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 12:28 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Jan 24, 2026 | 3 | 01:25 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 3 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jonathan Toews |
| Dec 31, 2025 | 2 | 13:56 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |