Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Bailey 45.5% (+2.5%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 11-3 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 63.3%
Defensive zone
Compher 89.6%
Neutral zone
Compher 74.3%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 81.0%
81.0%
19.0%
Compher
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
3
(14 meetings)
11
3
Compher
Bailey
Last 10: Compher 9-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Bailey
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
8
1
Compher
Bailey
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Bailey
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
45.8% (1,991)
+2.9%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
48.1% (295)
+4.5%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
39.9% (281)
+2.0%
On power play, Compher has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Compher is 47.2% vs left-shot opponents (5,626).
Compher shoots right. Bailey is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (995).
Home / Away
Compher
Bailey
Home
49.1% (3,894)
46.6% (1,353)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
44.0% (1,232)
By Period
Compher
Bailey
P1
49.1%
46.5%
P2
47.3%
44.8%
P3
47.4%
44.4%
OT
40.2%
51.1%
Final 5 min
46.2%
43.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
45.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2022 | 3 | 18:47 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 29, 2022 | 1 | 13:00 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 11:58 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 01:17 | Defensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 07:22 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 01:08 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 00:26 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |