Scouting Report
Josh Bailey holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 46.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bailey shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 48.0% vs Bailey 50.0% (-2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bailey 74.8%
Defensive zone
Compher 79.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.6%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Compher
Bailey
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
1
(7 meetings)
6
1
Compher
Bailey
Last 7: Compher 6-1 Bailey
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
1
Compher
Bailey
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
4
0
Compher
Bailey
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Bailey
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (480)
50.8% (189)
-0.8%
Power Play
52.9% (51)
52.8% (53)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (184)
28.6% (14)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bailey shoots left. Compher is 46.9% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Compher shoots right. Bailey is 46.2% vs right-shot opponents (117).
Home / Away
Compher
Bailey
Home
51.2% (328)
55.2% (145)
Away
44.7% (387)
43.2% (111)
By Period
Compher
Bailey
P1
50.4%
42.4%
P2
47.2%
52.2%
P3
46.2%
56.9%
OT
25.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.7%
Bailey
42.0%▬
41.0%
50.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 13:40 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 19:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 2 | 11:29 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 1 | 18:39 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 05:14 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:10 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 6, 2020 | 1 | 02:05 | Offensive | Josh Bailey |