Scouting Report
J.T. Compher holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 51.8% vs Barzal 41.4% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Compher leads 8-4 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Compher 67.7%
Defensive zone
Compher 91.3%
Neutral zone
Compher 88.2%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 85.0%
85.0%
15.0%
Compher
Barzal
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
4
(12 meetings)
8
4
Compher
Barzal
Last 10: Compher 8-2 Barzal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Barzal
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Barzal
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
6
3
Compher
Barzal
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Barzal
Edge
Even Strength
53.9% (757)
40.4% (463)
+13.5%
Power Play
54.8% (31)
34.2% (38)
+20.6%
Penalty Kill
35.6% (90)
28.6% (7)
+7.0%
On power play, Compher has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Barzal shoots right. Compher is 52.5% vs right-shot opponents (282).
Compher shoots right. Barzal is 42.6% vs right-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Compher
Barzal
Home
52.4% (429)
38.1% (244)
Away
51.7% (449)
41.3% (264)
By Period
Compher
Barzal
P1
56.0%
46.6%
P2
50.0%
35.7%
P3
50.6%
37.7%
OT
50.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
49.3%
40.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
52.1%
Barzal
36.0%▼
44.0%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 17:43 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 3 | 03:55 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Mathew Barzal |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 03:40 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:26 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 2 | 03:19 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 18:57 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 20, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 12:08 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 18:08 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 14:56 | Neutral | Mathew Barzal |