Scouting Report
Matt Stajan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Stajan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Stajan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Stajan 51.2% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 71.4%
Defensive zone
Stajan 58.9%
Neutral zone
Compher 55.2%
Result
Matt Stajan favored at 52.8%
47.2%
52.8%
Compher
Stajan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Compher
Stajan
Last 5: Compher 2-3 Stajan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Stajan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stajan
1
3
Compher
Stajan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Stajan
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
52.2% (395)
-7.9%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
60.0% (5)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
47.6% (82)
-3.0%
On power play, Stajan has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stajan shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Stajan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (193).
Home / Away
Compher
Stajan
Home
47.2% (282)
50.8% (238)
Away
43.3% (323)
52.0% (244)
By Period
Compher
Stajan
P1
47.6%
56.3%
P2
40.3%
48.8%
P3
47.4%
49.4%
Final 5 min
45.5%
52.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Stajan
50.0%▬
49.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 15:11 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 28, 2018 | 1 | 07:18 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Feb 24, 2018 | 3 | 10:48 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Matt Stajan |
| Nov 25, 2017 | 2 | 07:16 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |