Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Compher on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.6% vs Chaput 51.5% (-4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 56.9%
Defensive zone
Compher 50.5%
Neutral zone
Chaput 61.8%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 56.9%
43.1%
56.9%
Compher
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Compher
Chaput
Last 8: Compher 5-3 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
3
0
Compher
Chaput
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Compher
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (5,541)
52.2% (1,168)
-3.7%
Power Play
52.3% (664)
42.9% (14)
+9.4%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (1,397)
42.9% (70)
-0.9%
On power play, Compher has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Compher is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (5,490).
Compher shoots right. Chaput is 47.5% vs right-shot opponents (448).
Home / Away
Compher
Chaput
Home
49.0% (3,825)
53.5% (602)
Away
46.2% (3,777)
49.8% (650)
By Period
Compher
Chaput
P1
48.8%
48.6%
P2
47.2%
51.6%
P3
47.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
46.3%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
47.6%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 3 | 05:57 | Defensive | Michael Chaput |
| Dec 19, 2018 | 2 | 01:20 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |