Scouting Report
Michael Chaput holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Chaput on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Compher wins 43.8% vs left-shot opponents — Chaput shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 46.6% vs Chaput 50.3% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Chaput 68.2%
Defensive zone
Compher 67.7%
Neutral zone
Chaput 59.5%
Result
Michael Chaput favored at 63.0%
37.0%
63.0%
Compher
Chaput
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Compher
Chaput
Last 5: Compher 3-2 Chaput
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Chaput
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Chaput
1
2
Compher
Chaput
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Chaput
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (288)
52.2% (67)
-3.2%
Penalty Kill
38.6% (153)
0.0% (2)
+38.6%
On penalty kill, Compher has a +38.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Chaput shoots left. Compher is 43.8% vs left-shot opponents (356).
Compher shoots right. Chaput is 42.1% vs right-shot opponents (19).
Home / Away
Compher
Chaput
Home
41.2% (211)
45.2% (31)
Away
49.6% (260)
55.3% (38)
By Period
Compher
Chaput
P1
47.3%
57.1%
P2
44.4%
57.9%
P3
46.2%
41.4%
Final 5 min
54.4%
66.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Chaput
56.0%▲
46.5%
50.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 18:09 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 27, 2021 | 3 | 02:30 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 12:31 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Michael Chaput |
| Feb 26, 2021 | 2 | 19:45 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |