Scouting Report
Patrick Brown holds a +7.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.6% vs Brown 54.6% (-7.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 58.5%
Defensive zone
Brown 85.7%
Neutral zone
Brown 79.9%
Result
Patrick Brown favored at 65.7%
34.3%
65.7%
Compher
Brown
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Compher
Brown
Last 5: Compher 5-0 Brown
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Brown
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Compher
1
0
Compher
Brown
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Compher
2
0
Compher
Brown
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Brown
Edge
Even Strength
48.5% (5,541)
56.5% (726)
-8.0%
Power Play
52.3% (664)
62.5% (8)
-10.2%
Penalty Kill
42.0% (1,397)
47.8% (136)
-5.8%
On power play, Brown has a +10.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brown shoots right. Compher is 49.2% vs right-shot opponents (2,112).
Compher shoots right. Brown is 54.2% vs right-shot opponents (251).
Home / Away
Compher
Brown
Home
49.0% (3,825)
57.4% (364)
Away
46.2% (3,777)
53.6% (506)
By Period
Compher
Brown
P1
48.8%
51.4%
P2
47.2%
54.6%
P3
47.1%
58.8%
OT
39.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.3%
56.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
60.0%▲
49.0%
47.6%
Brown
44.0%▼
48.5%
55.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 18:21 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 13, 2022 | 2 | 03:14 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 5, 2022 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 15:20 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 25, 2022 | 2 | 01:18 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |