Scouting Report
Patrick Marleau holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Marleau on neutral-zone draws (60% H2H, 5 meetings). Compher wins 43.3% vs left-shot opponents — Marleau shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 45.8% vs Marleau 51.6% (-7.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Marleau 52.0%
Defensive zone
Compher 59.7%
Neutral zone
Compher 62.0%
Result
J.T. Compher favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Compher
Marleau
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Compher
Marleau
Last 9: Compher 4-5 Marleau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Marleau
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Compher
Marleau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Marleau
2
3
Compher
Marleau
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Marleau
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (431)
53.8% (251)
-9.5%
Power Play
50.7% (73)
47.1% (34)
+3.6%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (101)
37.5% (16)
+7.1%
On even strength, Marleau has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Marleau shoots left. Compher is 43.3% vs left-shot opponents (402).
Compher shoots right. Marleau is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (142).
Home / Away
Compher
Marleau
Home
47.2% (282)
60.4% (111)
Away
43.3% (323)
47.4% (190)
By Period
Compher
Marleau
P1
47.6%
54.7%
P2
40.3%
51.5%
P3
47.4%
49.2%
OT
66.7%
80.0%
Final 5 min
45.5%
56.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
45.1%
Marleau
50.0%▲
47.0%
52.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 15:40 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 11:54 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 04:34 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 3 | 01:54 | Offensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 03:56 | Defensive | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 2 | 03:50 | Offensive | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 14:55 | Neutral | Patrick Marleau |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Dec 29, 2017 | 1 | 01:50 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |