Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.8% vs 47.4%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Compher 47.8% vs Lafferty 47.6% (+0.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Compher 60.9%
Defensive zone
Lafferty 54.2%
Neutral zone
Compher 51.2%
Result
Sam Lafferty favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Compher
Lafferty
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Compher
Lafferty
Last 9: Compher 4-5 Lafferty
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lafferty
0
1
Compher
Lafferty
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Lafferty
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Compher
Lafferty
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Compher
Lafferty
Edge
Even Strength
48.7% (5,716)
48.0% (1,413)
+0.7%
Power Play
52.6% (682)
45.7% (46)
+6.9%
Penalty Kill
41.9% (1,421)
43.5% (184)
-1.6%
On power play, Compher has a +6.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lafferty shoots right. Compher is 49.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,193).
Compher shoots right. Lafferty is 48.9% vs right-shot opponents (395).
Home / Away
Compher
Lafferty
Home
49.1% (3,894)
47.3% (833)
Away
46.6% (3,925)
47.5% (810)
By Period
Compher
Lafferty
P1
49.1%
49.4%
P2
47.3%
43.1%
P3
47.4%
49.8%
OT
40.2%
60.0%
Final 5 min
46.2%
45.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Compher
52.0%▼
55.5%
47.8%
Lafferty
56.0%▲
51.0%
47.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2023 | 3 | 13:03 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Mar 15, 2023 | 1 | 03:41 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 12, 2023 | 2 | 14:35 | Defensive | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:54 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 01:49 | Neutral | J.T. Compher |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 3 | 16:42 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Jan 28, 2022 | 1 | 14:47 | Offensive | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | OT | 01:09 | Neutral | Sam Lafferty |
| Oct 16, 2019 | 2 | 18:13 | Defensive | Sam Lafferty |