Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.8% vs 54.1%). Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Koivu shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Koivu 54.0% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 11-7 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 59.3%
Defensive zone
Koivu 52.5%
Neutral zone
Koivu 50.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
Miller
Koivu
Head-to-Head Record
11
-
7
(18 meetings)
11
7
Miller
Koivu
Last 10: Miller 6-4 Koivu
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
7
0
Miller
Koivu
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Koivu
1
4
Miller
Koivu
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
3
3
Miller
Koivu
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Koivu
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,567)
54.0% (9,465)
+1.2%
Power Play
57.8% (1,266)
58.6% (2,100)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (900)
48.9% (1,688)
-0.8%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Koivu shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,829).
Miller shoots left. Koivu is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,701).
Home / Away
Miller
Koivu
Home
55.8% (4,486)
55.8% (6,577)
Away
53.8% (4,247)
52.3% (6,719)
By Period
Miller
Koivu
P1
54.6%
53.5%
P2
55.6%
54.6%
P3
53.9%
54.0%
OT
61.9%
56.5%
Final 5 min
55.1%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
66.0%▬
66.5%
54.8%
Koivu
44.0%▼
52.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 18:20 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 16:12 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 19, 2020 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 6, 2020 | 2 | 08:20 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 12, 2020 | 1 | 06:28 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 2 | 14:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 19:47 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 3 | 15:11 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Feb 23, 2018 | 1 | 07:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 09:14 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:24 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Mar 18, 2017 | 2 | 19:26 | Defensive | Mikko Koivu |
| Dec 23, 2016 | 1 | 06:25 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 13:24 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 4, 2016 | 3 | 02:19 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 08:27 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:49 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Dec 17, 2015 | 1 | 00:30 | Neutral | Mikko Koivu |