Scouting Report
Nate Thompson holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Miller wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Thompson 55.6% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 83.1%
Defensive zone
Thompson 54.0%
Neutral zone
Miller 59.2%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Miller
Thompson
Last 6: Miller 1-5 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
1
0
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
4
Miller
Thompson
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (627)
57.7% (482)
-2.8%
Power Play
53.7% (136)
100.0% (2)
-46.3%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
51.9% (154)
-4.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +46.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Miller is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 57.4% vs left-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
54.7% (486)
59.0% (327)
Away
53.6% (319)
53.7% (311)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
48.6%
54.2%
P2
59.6%
61.3%
P3
53.9%
53.9%
OT
60.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
48.3%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
56.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 13, 2017 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 07:53 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 2 | 00:58 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 15:41 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 10:33 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Nov 19, 2017 | 1 | 06:48 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |