Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Thompson on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 52.6% vs Thompson 50.3% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thompson 51.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 71.5%
Neutral zone
Thompson 62.0%
Result
Nate Thompson favored at 59.2%
40.8%
59.2%
Miller
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Miller
Thompson
Last 9: Miller 2-7 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Miller
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
3
Miller
Thompson
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Miller
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (432)
49.6% (230)
+5.3%
Power Play
23.1% (13)
50.0% (2)
-26.9%
Penalty Kill
48.1% (81)
53.8% (52)
-5.7%
On power play, Thompson has a +26.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Miller is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (362).
Miller shoots left. Thompson is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (163).
Home / Away
Miller
Thompson
Home
55.4% (294)
52.2% (134)
Away
50.0% (232)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Miller
Thompson
P1
47.5%
54.5%
P2
51.7%
48.0%
P3
60.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
48.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
53.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 18:10 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 2 | 14:32 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 08:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 13:18 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:01 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Feb 19, 2021 | 3 | 02:40 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |