Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.9% vs 55.1%). Look for Stastny on offensive-zone draws (69% H2H, 13 meetings). Miller wins 54.4% vs left-shot opponents — Stastny shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 54.8% vs Stastny 55.1% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Stastny leads 12-10 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Stastny 51.0%
Defensive zone
Stastny 54.0%
Neutral zone
Stastny 54.1%
Result
Paul Stastny favored at 52.3%
47.7%
52.3%
Miller
Stastny
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
12
(22 meetings)
10
12
Miller
Stastny
Last 10: Miller 4-6 Stastny
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stastny
4
9
Miller
Stastny
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
0
Miller
Stastny
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stastny
2
3
Miller
Stastny
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Stastny
Edge
Even Strength
55.2% (6,648)
54.6% (10,616)
+0.6%
Power Play
57.9% (1,285)
59.1% (1,994)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
48.2% (913)
52.9% (1,119)
-4.7%
On penalty kill, Stastny has a +4.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stastny shoots left. Miller is 54.4% vs left-shot opponents (5,907).
Miller shoots left. Stastny is 53.3% vs left-shot opponents (8,871).
Home / Away
Miller
Stastny
Home
55.9% (4,578)
55.9% (7,073)
Away
53.8% (4,268)
54.3% (6,705)
By Period
Miller
Stastny
P1
54.7%
56.3%
P2
55.6%
55.4%
P3
54.0%
53.5%
OT
62.3%
62.9%
Final 5 min
55.2%
55.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Stastny
52.0%▼
55.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 11, 2021 | 3 | 17:51 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 15:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 11, 2021 | 1 | 12:00 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 3 | 12:49 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| May 10, 2021 | 2 | 09:30 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 2 | 13:29 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 24, 2021 | 1 | 06:42 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 05:50 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 03:10 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 15:25 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Mar 2, 2021 | 2 | 04:39 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 17:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 10:33 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 09:09 | Offensive | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 3 | 02:56 | Neutral | Paul Stastny |
| Dec 15, 2019 | 3 | 05:02 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 11:55 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 01:27 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 19:36 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |