Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Miller wins 55.2% vs left-shot opponents — Plekanec shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Miller 53.8% vs Plekanec 53.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 88.3%
Defensive zone
Plekanec 67.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 59.7%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 57.5%
57.5%
42.5%
Miller
Plekanec
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Miller
Plekanec
Last 9: Miller 7-2 Plekanec
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
3
1
Miller
Plekanec
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Miller
4
1
Miller
Plekanec
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Miller
Plekanec
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (627)
53.3% (1,007)
+1.6%
Power Play
53.7% (136)
71.4% (21)
-17.7%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (42)
51.4% (208)
-3.8%
On power play, Plekanec has a +17.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Plekanec shoots left. Miller is 55.2% vs left-shot opponents (536).
Miller shoots left. Plekanec is 51.2% vs left-shot opponents (773).
Home / Away
Miller
Plekanec
Home
54.7% (486)
52.2% (628)
Away
53.6% (319)
54.4% (608)
By Period
Miller
Plekanec
P1
48.6%
55.6%
P2
59.6%
54.4%
P3
53.9%
49.9%
OT
60.0%
63.6%
Final 5 min
48.3%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.3%
Plekanec
56.0%▬
56.5%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2018 | 2 | 10:47 | Offensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 3 | 04:32 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 28, 2017 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 15:35 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 10:46 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 3 | 01:20 | Defensive | Tomas Plekanec |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 8, 2017 | 2 | 14:12 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |