Jack Drury vs Jean-Gabriel Pageau
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (59.3% vs 60.0%). Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 64.1% vs right-shot opponents — Pageau shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Pageau 58.8% (-0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 51.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 52.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 50.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 51.3%
48.7%
51.3%
Drury
Pageau
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Pageau
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Pageau
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
2
1
Drury
Pageau
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Pageau
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
0
1
Drury
Pageau
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Pageau
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (510)
59.2% (502)
+2.6%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
69.6% (23)
-25.2%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (125)
61.3% (163)
-10.9%
On power play, Pageau has a +25.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pageau shoots right. Drury is 64.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Drury shoots left. Pageau is 61.8% vs left-shot opponents (502).
Home / Away
Drury
Pageau
Home
60.3% (317)
59.5% (299)
Away
58.4% (327)
60.4% (389)
By Period
Drury
Pageau
P1
59.7%
55.3%
P2
57.7%
62.2%
P3
60.4%
61.1%
OT
60.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
49.4%
62.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.3%
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
60.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 11:58 | Defensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 05:17 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:53 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 2 | 01:40 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 16, 2025 | 1 | 18:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |