Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Drury wins 55.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.7% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 73.4%
Defensive zone
Drury 73.2%
Neutral zone
Drury 62.9%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Last 6: Drury 3-3 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Drury
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
1
Drury
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
3
0
Drury
Kotkaniemi
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
61.2% (667)
47.3% (207)
+13.9%
Power Play
40.0% (10)
100.0% (3)
-60.0%
Penalty Kill
49.0% (157)
33.3% (3)
+15.7%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +60.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Drury is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (515).
Drury shoots left. Kotkaniemi is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (116).
Home / Away
Drury
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.2% (407)
46.5% (129)
Away
58.1% (427)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Drury
Kotkaniemi
P1
59.0%
51.3%
P2
57.7%
46.1%
P3
59.1%
45.9%
Final 5 min
50.7%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
58.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 19:42 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 3 | 01:09 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 2 | 01:47 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Jan 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 16:01 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 2 | 07:01 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |