Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +13.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 58.5% vs right-shot opponents — Poitras shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Poitras 45.3% (+13.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 68.3%
Defensive zone
Drury 94.5%
Neutral zone
Drury 92.0%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 73.1%
73.1%
26.9%
Drury
Poitras
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Drury
Poitras
Last 5: Drury 4-1 Poitras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
3
1
Drury
Poitras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Poitras
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Poitras
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
43.6% (388)
+14.4%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
60.0% (10)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
66.7% (3)
-14.6%
On penalty kill, Poitras has a +14.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Poitras shoots right. Drury is 58.5% vs right-shot opponents (819).
Drury shoots left. Poitras is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Drury
Poitras
Home
58.3% (1,212)
43.6% (195)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
44.7% (206)
By Period
Drury
Poitras
P1
56.0%
42.6%
P2
58.6%
45.5%
P3
57.0%
44.1%
Final 5 min
53.7%
41.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Poitras
42.0%▼
44.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 15:16 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Matthew Poitras |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:28 | Neutral | Jack Drury |
| Oct 31, 2024 | 1 | 02:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |