Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +14.9% FO% edge overall. Drury wins 64.1% vs right-shot opponents — Bourque shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 58.1% vs Bourque 46.4% (+14.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 64.7%
Defensive zone
Drury 80.3%
Neutral zone
Drury 76.6%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 76.6%
76.6%
23.4%
Drury
Bourque
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Drury
Bourque
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Drury
1
0
Drury
Bourque
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Bourque
Edge
Even Strength
61.8% (510)
46.1% (167)
+15.7%
Power Play
44.4% (9)
12.5% (8)
+31.9%
Penalty Kill
50.4% (125)
40.0% (5)
+10.4%
On power play, Drury has a +31.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bourque shoots right. Drury is 64.1% vs right-shot opponents (256).
Drury shoots left. Bourque is 39.4% vs left-shot opponents (127).
Home / Away
Drury
Bourque
Home
60.3% (317)
40.0% (85)
Away
58.4% (327)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Drury
Bourque
P1
59.7%
40.4%
P2
57.7%
38.0%
P3
60.4%
52.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
40.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
68.0%▲
63.5%
59.3%
Bourque
48.0%▲
43.5%
44.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:54 | Neutral | Jack Drury |