Scouting Report
Jack Drury holds a +3.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Drury on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Drury wins 56.6% vs left-shot opponents — Nosek shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Drury 57.0% vs Nosek 53.6% (+3.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Drury 80.5%
Defensive zone
Drury 57.4%
Neutral zone
Drury 74.1%
Result
Jack Drury favored at 73.0%
73.0%
27.0%
Drury
Nosek
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Drury
Nosek
Last 7: Drury 5-2 Nosek
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Drury
4
0
Drury
Nosek
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Drury
Nosek
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nosek
0
1
Drury
Nosek
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Drury
Nosek
Edge
Even Strength
58.0% (1,975)
54.9% (2,674)
+3.1%
Power Play
58.5% (118)
44.7% (47)
+13.8%
Penalty Kill
52.1% (292)
47.4% (424)
+4.7%
On power play, Drury has a +13.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nosek shoots left. Drury is 56.6% vs left-shot opponents (1,565).
Drury shoots left. Nosek is 54.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,942).
Home / Away
Drury
Nosek
Home
58.3% (1,212)
52.7% (1,631)
Away
56.3% (1,173)
54.8% (1,514)
By Period
Drury
Nosek
P1
56.0%
52.3%
P2
58.6%
54.0%
P3
57.0%
54.6%
OT
62.5%
75.0%
Final 5 min
53.7%
52.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Drury
64.0%▲
56.0%
57.3%
Nosek
46.0%▼
49.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 19:59 | Neutral | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:35 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 30, 2024 | 2 | 03:27 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:41 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:34 | Defensive | Tomas Nosek |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 12:17 | Offensive | Jack Drury |
| Nov 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:57 | Defensive | Jack Drury |