Scouting Report
Jack Eichel holds a +12.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Eichel on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Kempe wins 24.1% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 41.7% vs Eichel 48.1% (-12.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 77.6%
Defensive zone
Kempe 60.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 67.7%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 64.0%
64.0%
36.0%
Kempe
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Kempe
Eichel
Last 7: Kempe 2-5 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kempe
1
0
Kempe
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Eichel
1
4
Kempe
Eichel
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Eichel
0
1
Kempe
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
38.2% (102)
47.7% (858)
-9.5%
Power Play
30.6% (36)
55.6% (63)
-25.0%
Penalty Kill
25.0% (4)
44.8% (87)
-19.8%
On power play, Eichel has a +25.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kempe is 24.1% vs right-shot opponents (58).
Kempe shoots left. Eichel is 47.1% vs left-shot opponents (700).
Home / Away
Kempe
Eichel
Home
36.4% (66)
47.7% (509)
Away
35.5% (76)
48.1% (499)
By Period
Kempe
Eichel
P1
37.3%
49.5%
P2
36.7%
48.5%
P3
31.4%
46.8%
OT
42.9%
37.0%
Final 5 min
40.0%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
35.9%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
47.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:03 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 16:35 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 08:45 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 11:22 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 2 | 08:11 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Jan 14, 2026 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |