Scouting Report
Chris Kelly holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Kelly on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kelly 45.4% vs Eichel 40.2% (+5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 50.7%
Defensive zone
Kelly 73.3%
Neutral zone
Kelly 73.1%
Result
Chris Kelly favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Kelly
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Kelly
Eichel
Last 6: Kelly 4-2 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
1
0
Kelly
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kelly
2
1
Kelly
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Kelly
Eichel
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kelly
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
47.5% (373)
38.5% (769)
+9.0%
Penalty Kill
35.9% (128)
41.7% (12)
-5.8%
On even strength, Kelly has a +9.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Kelly is 49.0% vs right-shot opponents (202).
Kelly shoots left. Eichel is 37.8% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Home / Away
Kelly
Eichel
Home
47.5% (259)
41.2% (417)
Away
41.3% (242)
36.4% (379)
By Period
Kelly
Eichel
P1
46.7%
41.1%
P2
42.9%
39.9%
P3
43.4%
34.5%
Final 5 min
42.2%
37.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kelly
38.0%▼
43.5%
44.5%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
38.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2017 | 2 | 17:08 | Offensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 14:45 | Neutral | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:35 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 14, 2017 | 1 | 10:32 | Defensive | Chris Kelly |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 16:27 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Feb 4, 2017 | 3 | 05:30 | Neutral | Jack Eichel |