Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (46.2% vs 46.8%). Look for Wagner on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Eichel shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.3% vs Eichel 47.1% (-0.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Eichel 87.8%
Defensive zone
Wagner 82.6%
Neutral zone
Eichel 57.4%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 60.5%
60.5%
39.5%
Wagner
Eichel
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Wagner
Eichel
Last 5: Wagner 4-1 Eichel
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Eichel
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
1
Wagner
Eichel
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wagner
1
0
Wagner
Eichel
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Eichel
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (190)
46.4% (1,019)
+3.6%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
52.5% (242)
-32.5%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
28.0% (50)
+7.2%
On power play, Eichel has a +32.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Eichel shoots right. Wagner is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (43).
Wagner shoots right. Eichel is 48.0% vs right-shot opponents (375).
Home / Away
Wagner
Eichel
Home
50.0% (134)
48.0% (683)
Away
41.7% (115)
45.5% (628)
By Period
Wagner
Eichel
P1
48.8%
46.1%
P2
42.0%
47.6%
P3
48.0%
46.4%
Final 5 min
50.0%
49.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Eichel
54.0%▲
50.5%
46.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 16:37 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 29, 2019 | 2 | 02:15 | Offensive | Chris Wagner |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Jack Eichel |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 1 | 19:38 | Neutral | Chris Wagner |
| Nov 21, 2019 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |